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10

Leia Antilles

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9 · OR 45

Kempton · Racing TV Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best effort when fourth at Bath in June. Little impact since and has hinted at temperament.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Nottingham 26/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 6f18y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/0655 @ Lingfield 04/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Lingfield 28/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS28/0446 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m2f Goo 125 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Gd 118 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 48 par13/066OR 486 @ Leicester 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 47 · 1m53y GF 120 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 45 · 1m2f GF 117 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 45 par25/076OR 456 @ Ffos Las 21/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m Sft 122 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 45 par21/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Ffos Las67th7th0
2026-07-25Lingfield66th6th0
2026-07-04Leicester65th5th0
2026-06-13Bath64th4th0
2026-05-29Chepstow67th7th0
2026-04-28Lingfield48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0629/0525/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 9-11 · tight 81/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20256th20/10%58%+0.58
04/08/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
28/04/20268th50/10%36%+0.36
29/05/20267th33/10%14%+0.14
13/06/20264th80/10%77%+0.77
04/07/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
25/07/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
21/09/20267th12/137%25%-0.12