Miss Gold

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 45

Kempton · Racing TV Handicap · 7f

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARK

Move▬

Strength18%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C5.3

Today: 6

Class gap: +0.7

Higher-class runs: 3

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-27	Ffos Las	6	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-08-12	Ffos Las	6	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-07-13	Lingfield	6	9th	9th	0	1.0
2026-06-23	Ffos Las	4	9th	7th	+2	3.4
2026-06-13	Bath	5	11th	10th	+1	1.0
2025-09-03	Lingfield	5	8th	7th	+1	3.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 74/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength26%

Delivery trend +6.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
03/09/2025	8th	10/1	47%	30%	-0.17
13/06/2026	11th	100/1	0%	0%	0.00
23/06/2026	9th	300/1	0%	0%	0.00
13/07/2026	9th	200/1	0%	0%	0.00
12/08/2026	8th	200/1	0%	0%	0.00
27/09/2026	8th	125/1	0%	30%	+0.30