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8

Mokata

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 45

Kempton · Racing TV Handicap · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to show much in 8 starts and now goes without headgear/tongue tie.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 11/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m3y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS11/0442 @ Newmarket 01/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 118 · HIGHER CLASS11/0546 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 49 · 6f210y Gd 125 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Brighton 21/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 46 · 6f210y GF 126 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 46 par21/066OR 466 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 46 · 7f80y Goo 126 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Lingfield 12/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m1y Std 122 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 45 par12/096OR 456 @ Ffos Las 21/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m Sft 122 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 45 par21/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Ffos Las67th7th0
2026-09-12Lingfield66th6th0
2026-06-30Ffos Las67th7th0
2026-06-21Brighton69th9th0
2026-06-09Brighton65th5th0
2026-05-11Windsor410th8th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/049/0612/0921/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/04/202610th125/10%10%+0.10
01/05/20266th250/10%17%+0.17
11/05/202610th250/10%25%+0.25
09/06/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
21/06/20269th20/10%11%+0.11
30/06/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
12/09/20266th50/10%38%+0.38
21/09/20267th40/10%14%+0.14