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9

Poetic Grace

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 11 · OR 45

Kempton · Racing TV Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Poor maiden but has made the frame on 4 occasions this season, including on all-weather at Lingfield last time, so can't be ruled out for each-way purposes.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 20/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/1155 @ Lingfield 31/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f1y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS6 @ Yarmouth 21/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m3y GF 126 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 45 par21/046OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 45 · 7f36y Std 121 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 45 · 7f Goo 121 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 45 par19/056OR 456 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 45 · 5f215y Gd 126 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Leicester 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 45 · 7f GF 126 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 45 par14/076OR 456 @ Yarmouth 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 42 · 1m3y GF 128 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 42 par6 @ Lingfield 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 45 · 1m1y Std 122 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 45 par12/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-14Yarmouth66th6th0
2026-07-14Leicester65th5th0
2026-06-09Brighton65th5th0
2026-05-19Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-05-05Wolverhampton64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/115/0514/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/202510th11/486%31%-0.55
31/12/20259th40/10%11%+0.11
21/04/20264th9/153%63%+0.10
05/05/20264th13/266%67%+0.01
19/05/20263rd5/174%82%+0.08
09/06/20265th2/189%33%-0.56
14/07/20265th7/163%20%-0.43
14/08/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
12/09/20264th40/10%63%+0.63