Squashy Berry

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 46

Kempton · Racing TV Handicap · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼1

Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.8

Today: 6

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-08	Leicester	6	10th	10th	0	1.0
2026-05-19	Lingfield	5	7th	6th	+1	4.2
2026-05-04	Kempton	4	8th	6th	+2	4.4
2026-04-13	Leicester	4	13th	11th	+2	1.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 65/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength22%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/04/2026	13th	150/1	0%	0%	0.00
04/05/2026	8th	100/1	0%	22%	+0.22
19/05/2026	7th	33/1	0%	25%	+0.25
08/06/2026	10th	16/1	16%	25%	+0.09