4
Who Is Alice
3yo Filly · 9-7 · Draw 1 · OR 53
Kempton · Racing TV Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Ffos Las | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bath | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Windsor | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Chepstow | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chepstow | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 12/09/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 8% | -0.71 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |