Deferred Interest
5yo Gelding · 8-4 · Draw 5 · OR 45
Kempton · Bet 20 Pound Get 20 Pound With Unibet Handicap · 1m 3f 219y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Kempton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Plumpton | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2025-11-24 | Ludlow | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-11-04 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2025 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/06/2025 | 8th | 500/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/11/2025 | 8th | 300/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/01/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/02/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |