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4

Letmebetheboss

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 10 · OR 64

Kempton · Bet 20 Pound Get 20 Pound With Unibet Handicap · 1m 3f 219y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★ Timeform

Commentary

A 3-time winner (at up to 2m) in 2025 for William Muir & Chris Grassick and made positive start with this yard when making the frame on final outing that season. Absent for 8 months after and showed little both starts since. Tongue tie goes back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 25/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 58 · 1m7f218y Sta 134 · beat its mark25/06/2025 · OR 58 par25/066OR 585 @ Southwell 13/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 65 · 2m102y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/07/2025 · OR 65 par5 @ Kempton 06/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 1m7f218y Sta 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 65 par6/085OR 654 @ Kempton 06/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 65 · 1m7f218y Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 65 par5 @ Haydock 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 64 · 1m6f GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 64 par26/095OR 645 @ Newbury 25/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m4f Sft 152 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 66 par5 @ Kempton 17/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 66 · 1m3f219y Sta 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/12/2025 · OR 66 par17/125OR 665 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 66 · 1m5f219y Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Kempton 14/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 65 · 1m2f219y Sta 137 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 65 par14/095OR 65projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Kempton59th8th+1
2026-08-26Wolverhampton57th6th+1
2025-12-17Kempton54th3rd+1
2025-10-25Newbury510th9th+1
2025-09-26Haydock51st0th+1
2025-09-06Kempton45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/066/0917/1214/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
13/07/20254th3/184%77%-0.07
06/08/20252nd16/583%80%-0.03
06/09/20255th13/266%50%-0.16
26/09/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
25/10/202510th10/382%18%-0.64
17/12/20254th11/142%70%+0.28
26/08/20267th33/10%0%0.00
14/09/20269th80/10%0%0.00