7

Mrembo

7yo Mare · 9-3 · Draw 6 · OR 59

Kempton · Bet 20 Pound Get 20 Pound With Unibet Handicap · 1m 3f 219y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 3-runner race at Windsor in May and has remained in form since, latest when second of 10 in handicap at Epsom (1¼m, firm, 3/1) in August. Can go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Brighton 16/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 59 · 1m1f207y Goo 134 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 59 par16/106OR 596 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m3f219y Sta 129 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Bath 04/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 59 · 1m3f137y Gd 134 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 59 par4/056OR 595 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 59 · 1m3f99y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Windsor 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 58 · 1m3f99y GF 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 58 par25/055OR 585 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m3f99y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Epsom Downs 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m2f17y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 59 par1/075OR 595 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 59 · 1m1f209y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Epsom Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 58 · 1m2f17y Goo 138 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 58 par14/086OR 58projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Epsom Downs62nd2nd0
2026-07-24Sandown54th3rd+1
2026-07-01Epsom Downs55th4th+1
2026-06-15Windsor54th3rd+1
2026-05-25Windsor51st0th+1
2026-05-11Windsor54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1011/051/0714/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20253rd6/168%83%+0.15
08/04/20265th28/10%64%+0.64
04/05/20263rd7/282%75%-0.07
11/05/20264th6/168%67%-0.02
25/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
15/06/20264th11/271%50%-0.21
01/07/20265th15/261%50%-0.11
24/07/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
14/08/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05