Super Hit
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 8 · OR 65
Kempton · Bet 20 Pound Get 20 Pound With Unibet Handicap · 1m 3f 219y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Kempton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |