2

Epic Arch

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 12

Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 1m 30y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Again shaped like one for the longer term when mid-field in a maiden at Punchestown (1m, good, 100/1) second time up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 13315/08C8C8 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m30y Goo 13315/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Punchestown?8th8th0
2026-08-15Dundalk?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength34%

Delivery trend -12.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20266th40/10%58%+0.58
15/09/20268th100/10%46%+0.46