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5

Magma Law

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 7

Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 1m 30y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left debut form behind when 1¼-length third in first-time blinkers in a claiming maiden at Naas (1m), running on in the manner of one who'll stay further. Needs a fair bit more in a stronger race here, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 12518/05C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Yie 125 · HIGHER CLASS17/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-18Roscommon?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0517/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +88.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20268th10/147%0%-0.47
17/09/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41