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11

Magna Fortuna

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 11 · OR 45

Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 1m 30y

#11

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't shown any ability in 3 starts, latterly in first-time hood at Navan (6f).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR - · 6f Goo 12012/06C8C8 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 12230/06C8C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f180y Gd 1225/09C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?12th12th0
2026-06-30Roscommon?13th13th0
2026-06-12Fairyhouse?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0630/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -14.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/202611th100/10%38%+0.38
30/06/202613th125/10%14%+0.14
05/09/202612th150/10%8%+0.08