13
Wecouldavehaditall
2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5 · OR 69
Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden · 1m 30y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
56%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Naas | BHA68 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 23/08/2026 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |