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5

Private Peaceful

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 10

Killarney · Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden · 1m 30y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cheap purchase who stepped up on his debut when beaten 4¾ lengths at Listowel (1m, 50/1) last time. Will be better off in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m40y Gd 13415/07C8C8 @ Listowel 21/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m Yie 13421/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Listowel?5th5th0
2026-07-15Killarney?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +47.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
21/09/20265th50/10%69%+0.69