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6

Saliba

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 2 · OR 80

Killarney · Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden · 1m 30y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved for the step up in trip when 1¾ lengths second of 14 at Punchestown (9f, good) on fourth career start. Isn't far off the standard setters on that form and reasonable to assume he'll be ridden positively back over 1m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m Goo 1345/05C8C8 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m Gd 13424/06C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1341/08C8C8 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 77 · 1m1f30y Goo 134 · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 77 par15/09C8OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Punchestown?2nd2nd0
2026-08-01Galway?5th5th0
2026-06-24Naas?6th6th0
2026-05-05Gowran Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0524/061/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength64%

Delivery trend -17.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20263rd22/10%87%+0.87
24/06/20266th6/168%64%-0.04
01/08/20265th13/266%64%-0.02
15/09/20262nd13/266%92%+0.27