2
Sron Na Caise
4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 9 · OR 70
Killarney · Gleneagle Killarney Median Auction Maiden · 1m 30y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 50/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 81% | +0.39 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |