2
Cladach
3yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 11 · OR 69
Killarney · Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap · 1m 30y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | BHA63 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | BHA62 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | BHA65 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA66 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 62/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 22/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 92% | +0.02 |