5
Closely
3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 8 · OR 68
Killarney · Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap · 1m 30y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Naas | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Cork | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Listowel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 24/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +15.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 13/06/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 16/5 | 83% | 45% | -0.38 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |