7
Holy Lettuce
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 3 · OR 66
Killarney · Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap · 1m 30y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA67 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Leopardstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Killarney | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 65% | +0.59 |