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10

Pattyandselma

3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 1 · OR 60

Killarney · Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap · 1m 30y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to threaten in 3 maidens, most recently ninth of 17 at Curragh (300/1) 9 days ago. Looks the type to do better in handicaps now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m20y Goo 1292/09C8C8 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 12918/09C8C8 @ Curragh 26/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 12926/09C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-26Curragh?9th9th0
2026-09-18Dundalk?9th9th0
2026-09-02Navan?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0918/0926/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +12.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/202610th250/10%25%+0.25
18/09/20269th200/10%20%+0.20
26/09/20269th300/10%50%+0.50