9
Roaming Coyote
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 4 · OR 62
Killarney · Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap · 1m 30y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | BHA61 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA63 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA57 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 25/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 20/06/2026 | 10th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |