6

Sherekiya

3yo Filly · 9-11 · Draw 2 · OR 67

Killarney · Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap · 1m 30y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had gradually been getting the hang of things when third of 13 at the Curragh (11/1) in August, improving for the step back up to 1m, but wasn't as strong in the finish last time when eighth of 18 at Cork (5/1). From a quality Aga Khan family and could be worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 17/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 12817/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m Hvy 12820/09C8C8 @ Killarney 06/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m30y Sft 1286/10C8BHA68 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 68 · 7f Goo 132 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 68 par3/0868OR 68BHA68 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 68 · 1m Goo 132 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 68 par16/0868OR 68BHA67 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 67 · 1m Goo 133 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 67 par9/0967OR 67projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA678th8th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA683rd3rd0
2026-08-03NaasBHA687th7th0
2025-10-06Killarney?4th4th0
2025-09-20Gowran Park?5th5th0
2025-07-17Leopardstown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0720/096/103/0816/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20257th13/266%33%-0.32
20/09/20255th13/266%50%-0.16
06/10/20254th11/486%57%-0.28
03/08/20267th16/116%60%+0.44
16/08/20263rd11/142%83%+0.41
09/09/20268th5/174%59%-0.15