12
Strikepoint
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 7 · OR 48
Killarney · Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap · 1m 30y
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)
Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA54 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/08/2026 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |