4
Suir Monad
3yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 9 · OR 69
Killarney · Carry Out Off-Licence Handicap · 1m 30y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | BHA69 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 60/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |