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15

Draiocht

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 13 · OR 40

Killarney · Killarney Student Raceday Handicap (0-60) · 1m 30y

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened his account in this last year but only run of note since was a third-placed finish at Leopardstown in August. Hood goes back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA41 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 41 · 7f195y Goo 123 · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 41 par26/0841OR 41BHA40 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 21 · OR 40 · 7f Sft 122 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Killarney 06/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 40 · 1m30y Sft 122 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 40 par6/1040OR 40BHA40 @ Thurles 09/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m44y Goo 130 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 40 parBHA45 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m75y Hvy 129 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 45 par20/1045OR 45BHA43 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 43 · 1m40y Gd 125 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 43 parBHA43 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 43 · 7f42y Goo 126 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 43 par6/0843OR 43BHA43 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 43 · 7f195y Goo 126 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 43 parBHA40 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 40 · 7f Sft 119 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 40 par8/0940OR 40projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA409th9th0
2026-08-25BellewstownBHA436th6th0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA433rd3rd0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA434th4th0
2025-10-20Gowran ParkBHA4511th11th0
2025-10-09ThurlesBHA409th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/089/106/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 3-16 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength23%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20254th16/116%79%+0.63
10/09/20258th12/137%65%+0.28
06/10/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
09/10/20259th11/271%38%-0.33
20/10/202511th11/142%23%-0.19
15/07/20264th33/10%75%+0.75
06/08/20263rd18/15%88%+0.82
25/08/20266th4/179%64%-0.15
08/09/20269th11/142%20%-0.22