1
Jasmine Affanalis
4yo Filly · 10-1 · Draw 5 · OR 59
Killarney · Killarney Student Raceday Handicap (0-60) · 1m 30y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | BHA60 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA62 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Killarney | BHA60 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA61 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA61 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | BHA59 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 4-15 · tight 51/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 76% | +0.03 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 10/06/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 01/07/2026 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.23 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 06/08/2026 | 15th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |