13
Lily's Magic
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 42
Killarney · Killarney Student Raceday Handicap (0-60) · 1m 30y
#16
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 11.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Dundalk | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Curragh | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2024-09-11 | Cork | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 65/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +25.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2024 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 10% | -0.45 |
| 28/09/2024 | 17th | 150/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 31/10/2025 | 13th | 200/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |