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9

Ochtar Againn

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 4 · OR 49

Killarney · Killarney Student Raceday Handicap (0-60) · 1m 30y

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran up to best when ¾-length second of 14 to Mare Crisium in handicap (33/1) at Clonmel (1¼m, good) 19 days ago under a change to positive tactics. Can go well again but she'll need more to gain a first win.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 9.2)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Sft 12928/03C8C8 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 21st of 24 · OR - · 6f Sft 129BHA56 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 56 par5/0556OR 56BHA55 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m1f120y Yie 135 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 55 parBHA54 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 54 · 1m Gd 125 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 54 par14/0654OR 54BHA53 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 53 · 6f150y Gd 133 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 53 parBHA53 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 53 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 53 par7/0853OR 53BHA52 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 52 · 1m Yie 134 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 52 parBHA48 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 48 · 1m1f168y Yie 130 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 48 par16/0948OR 48projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16ClonmelBHA482nd2nd0
2026-08-30CorkBHA5216th16th0
2026-08-07Gowran ParkBHA537th7th0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA534th4th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA5410th10th0
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA5510th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/031/067/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
19/04/202621st150/10%13%+0.13
05/05/20265th40/10%69%+0.69
01/06/202610th13/266%18%-0.48
14/06/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
11/07/20264th10/147%77%+0.30
07/08/20267th5/174%54%-0.20
30/08/202616th22/10%0%0.00
16/09/20262nd33/10%92%+0.92