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12

One Cool County

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 18 · OR 46

Killarney · Killarney Student Raceday Handicap (0-60) · 1m 30y

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Limited impact in maidens over longer trips on turf. Handicaps now more realistic.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f73y Gd 13413/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f100y GF 13412/08C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f48y Goo 13418/08C8C8 @ Punchestown 15/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f30y Goo 13415/09C8projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Punchestown?10th10th0
2026-08-18Roscommon?10th10th0
2026-08-12Gowran Park?9th9th0
2026-07-13Killarney?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0712/0818/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 11-12 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength32%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20266th66/10%29%+0.29
12/08/20269th250/10%27%+0.27
18/08/202610th250/10%31%+0.31
15/09/202610th300/10%31%+0.31