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3

Latin America

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 3 · OR 95

Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) · 1m 3f 50y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed debut promise when landing the odds in 18-runner maiden at Navan in April. Shaped well considering the drop in trip seemed to be against him in a useful event at Naas the following month. Off since (gelded) but likely more to come over this distance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f Sft 13428/03C8C8 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 1m2f40y Goo 13425/04C8C0 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m Gd 13317/05C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Naas?3rd3rd0
2026-04-25Navan?1st10th−7
2026-03-28Curragh?2nd11th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0325/0417/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength22%

Delivery trend -23.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
25/04/20261st5/696%100%+0.04
17/05/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10