Shaihaan
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 10 · OR 102
Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed) · 1m 3f 50y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 15/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |