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2

Emily Estherfaye

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 2 · OR 70

Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m 3f 50y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't had a clear run the last twice, showing plenty of ability at Cork in August. Will be better off in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 12931/07C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f90y Goo 12914/08C8C8 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f168y Yie 12916/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Clonmel?4th4th0
2026-08-14Cork?5th5th0
2026-07-31Galway?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0714/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 41/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength55%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/202611th100/10%33%+0.33
14/08/20265th200/10%60%+0.60
16/09/20264th14/126%57%+0.31