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Sibaza

3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 3

Killarney · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 1m 3f 50y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Night of Thunder half-sister to 3 winners, including French 10.5f/11f winner Simada and 1¾m-16.6f winner Simiyann. Showed a bit but never looked like justifying support on debut at Naas (1m) 3 months ago. This longer trip will suit and can improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 1294/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Naas?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20265th2/189%43%-0.47