12
Coilins Girl
3yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 4 · OR 59
Killarney · Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap · 1m 3f 50y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Dundalk | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Dundalk | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |