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4

Gentle Soda

3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 2 · OR 68

Killarney · Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap · 1m 3f 50y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shown plenty in maidens at up to 1½m and looks the type to do better in handicaps. One to note.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 12918/08C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8C8 @ Listowel 21/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 12921/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Listowel?5th5th0
2026-09-02Navan?7th7th0
2026-08-18Roscommon?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/082/0921/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +19.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/202612th150/10%21%+0.21
02/09/20267th250/10%70%+0.70
21/09/20265th40/10%60%+0.60