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7

Ocean Fire

3yo Filly · 9-11 · Draw 5 · OR 67

Killarney · Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap · 1m 3f 50y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has made a fair start in 1½m maidens and remains with potential now sent handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f65y Gd 12911/07C8C8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 12931/07C8C8 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 1m4f Sft 1298/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Galway?5th5th0
2026-07-31Galway?5th5th0
2026-07-11Limerick?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0731/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +31.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
31/07/20265th250/10%73%+0.73
08/09/20265th22/10%75%+0.75