5
Running Point
3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 14 · OR 68
Killarney · Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap · 1m 3f 50y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA70 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA72 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Dundalk | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Down Royal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Naas | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Leopardstown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 87/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -24.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 82% | -0.08 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 11/05/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 42% | -0.27 |
| 18/06/2026 | 16th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |