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6

Shambata

3yo Filly · 9-12 · Draw 11 · OR 68

Killarney · Killarney Grand Apprentice Handicap · 1m 3f 50y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took a step back in the right direction on handicap debut when fourth at Galway (1½m) last month. Bred to be useful for leading connections and may yet do better. Cheekpieces are fitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f84y Gd 12927/04C8C8 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f100y Yie 12912/06C8C8 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f17y Goo 12931/08C8BHA69 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 69 · 1m4f Sft 131 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 69 par8/0969OR 69projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA694th4th0
2026-08-31Roscommon?7th7th0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?12th12th0
2026-04-27Naas?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0412/0631/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
12/06/202612th11/486%15%-0.70
31/08/20267th18/15%57%+0.52
08/09/20264th11/271%79%+0.08