7

Enchanted Lady

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 2 · OR 61

Killarney · Spin Southwest Maiden · 1m 3f 50y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden who has had excuses the last twice, most recently when badly hampered at Down Royal (10.7f, good) last month. Cheekpieces discarded.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m50y Yie 13025/04C8C8 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f46y Gd 13011/05C8C8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13026/05C8BHA73 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m2f96y Sft 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 73 par20/0673OR 73BHA72 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 72 · 1m2f184y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 72 par3/0872OR 72BHA69 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 69 · 1m4f48y Goo 139 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 69 par18/0869OR 69BHA65 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m2f145y Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 65 par4/0965OR 65projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA6513th11th+2
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA697th6th+1
2026-08-03NaasBHA729th8th+1
2026-06-20Down RoyalBHA737th6th+1
2026-05-26Dundalk?5th5th0
2026-05-11Roscommon?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0420/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/202613th20/10%14%+0.14
11/05/20264th22/10%73%+0.73
26/05/20265th12/137%64%+0.27
20/06/20267th33/10%25%+0.25
03/08/20269th22/10%20%+0.20
18/08/20267th10/147%60%+0.13
04/09/202613th22/10%8%+0.08