9

Shemiyka

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 3 · OR 71

Killarney · Spin Southwest Maiden · 1m 3f 50y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed improved form when third of 16 in maiden at Galway (1½m, soft) on return in July. Fourth in Sligo claimer just 5 days later but ran poorly back in maiden company at Roscommon (1½m, good to soft) 5 weeks ago. Needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 06/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m30y Gd 1296/09C8C8 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f100y Hvy 12920/10C8C8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 14031/07C8C7 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f100y Yie 142 · HIGHER CLASS5/08C7C8 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 72 · 1m4f17y Goo 138 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 72 par31/08C8OR 72projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Roscommon?9th9th0
2026-08-05Sligo?4th2nd+2
2026-07-31Galway?3rd3rd0
2025-10-20Gowran Park?5th5th0
2025-09-06Navan?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0920/1031/075/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20259th20/10%38%+0.38
20/10/20255th10/147%43%-0.05
31/07/20263rd100/10%87%+0.87
05/08/20264th3/184%77%-0.07
31/08/20269th25/10%43%+0.43