10

Tears I Nevercried

4yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 8

Killarney · Spin Southwest Maiden · 1m 3f 50y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to improve for the longer trip when well held in a maiden at Roscommon (1½m) second time up back in May. Has since switched yards for just 1,400 gns.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR - · 1m1f130y Sft 1309/04C8C8 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f46y Gd 13011/05C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-11Roscommon?6th6th0
2026-04-09Gowran Park?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0411/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +23.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/04/202612th50/10%31%+0.31
11/05/20266th80/10%55%+0.55