Timur
2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 2
Le Mans · Prix Reine Berengere Stakes · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Deauville | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 9th | 5th | +4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 1st | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 04/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |