7

Yaftabella

2yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 5

Le Mans · Prix Reine Berengere Stakes · 6f 211y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12820/06C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 02/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1242/08C52 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f212y GS 117 · HIGHER CLASS25/0822 @ Saint-Cloud 25/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y GS 117 · HIGHER CLASS25/092projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Saint-Cloud27th4th+3
2026-08-25Deauville23rd0th+3
2026-08-02Le Lion D'angers?4th4th0
2026-06-20Compiegne?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/062/0825/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength13%

Delivery trend -9.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20267th22/10%33%+0.33
02/08/20264th28/10%57%+0.57
25/08/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60
25/09/20267th25/10%0%0.00