2
Bubblesan
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6
Le Mans · Prix De Sarge-Les-Le-Mans Stakes · 1m 7f 199y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Tarbes | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -142.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |