IvyArcIvyArc
9

Caramel

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3

Le Mans · Prix De Sarge-Les-Le-Mans Stakes · 1m 7f 199y

#8

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 19/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12819/03C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 24/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12824/04C5C5 @ Compiegne 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 12415/09C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Compiegne?3rd6th−3
2026-04-24Saint-Cloud?11th14th−3
2026-03-19Saint-Cloud?5th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0324/0415/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 26/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +25.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20265th5/174%60%-0.14
24/04/202611th11/271%0%-0.71
15/09/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38