6
Lacra
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 1
Le Mans · Prix De Sarge-Les-Le-Mans Stakes · 1m 7f 199y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -53.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |