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Sacrifice

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 9

Le Mans · Prix De Sarge-Les-Le-Mans Stakes · 1m 7f 199y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 27/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12827/12C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12815/03C5C5 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12830/07C52 @ Lyon-Parilly 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1252/092projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Lyon-Parilly22nd2nd0
2026-07-30Dieppe?1st4th−3
2026-03-15Saint-Cloud?7th10th−3
2025-12-27Chantilly?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1215/0330/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 27/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20253rd5/287%86%-0.01
15/03/20267th7/282%14%-0.67
30/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
02/09/20262nd3/184%67%-0.18