5

Angel Breizh
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2
Le Mans · Prix De Chaufour-Notre-Dame Stakes · 1m 1f 152y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Craon | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-01 | Cholet | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | ? | 9th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |