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Blackskar

2yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 6

Le Mans · Prix De Chaufour-Notre-Dame Stakes · 1m 1f 152y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1233/07C5C5 @ Vittel 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12811/08C52 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12511/092projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud24th4th0
2026-08-11Vittel?1st4th−3
2026-07-03Clairefontaine?5th8th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0711/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20265th14/126%56%+0.29
11/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
11/09/20264th22/10%50%+0.50